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🇺🇸 Yesterday, reports said the BLS was recalling furloughed staff to finish processing the September CPI numbers.
We even asked the public if they thought they’d manage to release it on time.
Today, it’s confirmed: the CPI will be published on October 24 (originally scheduled for the 15th).
While it’s good news that the release will happen, it’s also deeply concerning that such delays are still possible in 2025, especially with the technology available today.
We’ve previously discussed how status quo methodologies already create a natural lag in data. Our own Truflation index identifies trend inflection points up to 45 days before the official BLS index.
Now, on top of that inherent lag, there are an additional 10 days of delay from the government shutdown, bringing the total lag to around 55 days.
That’s almost two months of delay for data that helps shape monetary policy decisions in the world’s largest economy. What’s striking is that the very technology that could fix this would also reduce costs dramatically.
And that’s before we even talk about the use case of blockchain-based systems, which we use to add a layer of transparency and make inflation data tamper-resistant (as inflation manipulation has happened throughout history).
We can — and must — do better.
It’s not only about being ahead to position investments, but also about being on time to make accurate monetary policy decisions that positively impact citizens’ lives.
Whether there’s a government shutdown or not, Truflation keeps running 24/7, collecting real-time prices and sharing them with the public.

Additional details regarding our data:

Mar 13, 2025
🚨 So, where is US inflation heading now? 🇺🇸
Markets called it “lower than expected”. But here in the Truflation community, we knew better. It was -exactly- what we expected.
But how did we know?
📽️ This video breaks it down—clear as day—showing you how we track inflation and what we expect in the coming months.
At Truflation, we process tens of millions of data points daily to update our real-time inflation indicator. Every single day, we:
✅ Ingest fresh data
✅ Categorize & validate it
✅ Upload it to the blockchain
✅ Deliver it directly to you
This relentless approach allows us to detect inflation trends an average of 45 days before the BLS prints their numbers.
But let’s clear up a common misconception: We are not trying to replicate the BLS absolute values.
We have our own methodology to measure inflation 📝—one that we firmly believe reflects REAL inflation. However, because government decisions are based on outdated government data, when we predict BLS CPI prints, we adjust our model in a specific way…
How do we predict BLS CPI so accurately?
⛔️We apply a penalty to our own data—yes, essentially, we simulate a scenario where our real-time insights don’t exist. We strip away our immediate access to fresh data and align our weightings with those of the BLS.
The result?
Our BLS CPI predictions have been extremely accurate—over the past 10 months, our forecasts have had an average deviation of just 0.02% (excluding January, when the BLS changed weightings). 🎯
And while we are happy to know that our community and premium subscribers use our leading indicator for everything from Bitcoin trades and US treasury bonds to FX markets, one thing still amazes us:
🇺🇸 The biggest economy in the world spends over a billion dollars on an institution (BLS) that uses an outdated methodology—just to base one of the world’s most critical decisions (monetary policy changes) on its lagging numbers.
Meanwhile, a team of 18 people (myself included—the Truflation intern 🙂), working with less than 1% of that budget, is beating them by almost two months.
Why? We can only speculate... But one thing is certain:
🔹 We will always keep exposing real inflation.
🔹 We will always keep spreading the TRUF.
Thank you for your support. 🤝
And to those saying prices are only going up…
🚨 Yes, prices are still rising. Lower inflation does NOT mean lower prices.
It simply means that prices are increasing at a slower rate. The damage of the past five years of compounded inflation is still being felt—your groceries, rent, and everyday expenses are still far more expensive than they were.
And that’s exactly why tracking real-time inflation matters—so we know where we’re heading and no one lies to us.
Truflation Team 🫡🇺🇸
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