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🚨 So, where is US inflation heading now? 🇺🇸
Markets called it “lower than expected”. But here in the Truflation community, we knew better. It was -exactly- what we expected.
But how did we know?
📽️ This video breaks it down—clear as day—showing you how we track inflation and what we expect in the coming months.
At Truflation, we process tens of millions of data points daily to update our real-time inflation indicator. Every single day, we:
✅ Ingest fresh data
✅ Categorize & validate it
✅ Upload it to the blockchain
✅ Deliver it directly to you
This relentless approach allows us to detect inflation trends an average of 45 days before the BLS prints their numbers.
But let’s clear up a common misconception: We are not trying to replicate the BLS absolute values.
We have our own methodology to measure inflation 📝—one that we firmly believe reflects REAL inflation. However, because government decisions are based on outdated government data, when we predict BLS CPI prints, we adjust our model in a specific way…
How do we predict BLS CPI so accurately?
⛔️We apply a penalty to our own data—yes, essentially, we simulate a scenario where our real-time insights don’t exist. We strip away our immediate access to fresh data and align our weightings with those of the BLS.
The result?
Our BLS CPI predictions have been extremely accurate—over the past 10 months, our forecasts have had an average deviation of just 0.02% (excluding January, when the BLS changed weightings). 🎯
And while we are happy to know that our community and premium subscribers use our leading indicator for everything from Bitcoin trades and US treasury bonds to FX markets, one thing still amazes us:
🇺🇸 The biggest economy in the world spends over a billion dollars on an institution (BLS) that uses an outdated methodology—just to base one of the world’s most critical decisions (monetary policy changes) on its lagging numbers....
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