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New blog post where I explain why I disagree with this, and why I have slightly longer timelines to AGI than many of my guests.
I think continual learning is a huge bottleneck to the usefulness of these models, and extended computer use may take years to sort out.
L-nk below.
23.5.2025
"Even if AI progress totally stalls, it's sufficiently easy to collect data on all these different white collar job tasks that we should expect to see them automated within the next 5 years."
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