三个月后,Futarchy 和 Grants Council 各自选择了 5 个项目以获得增长补助金,我们正在探索这些选定项目在 Superchain TVL 增加方面的表现! 我们还将根据预测准确性奖励顶级预测者。
2/ Congrats to 1st place @0xSkyMine, 2nd place @joanbp_dk, and 3rd place @0xyNaMu. See the comment section on this forum post for full rewards announcement:
3/ Key learnings: Futarchy and GC initially selected 2 overlapping projects ( @RocketPool_Fi and @superformxyz), and 3 unique projects. Comparing those projects, the Futarchy projects appear to have seen a higher increase in Superchain TVL, though that is driven largely by outlier @Balancer & @beets_fi (who narrowly missed the cutoff by GC and was ranked sixth). Check out the full analysis post here:
4/ Futarchy 之间存在更广泛的差异和风险偏好? 虽然 Futarchy 从全套中选择了 TVL 增幅最高的两个项目,但他们也选择了一个净负 TVL 比任何 GC 项目都大的项目。 Futarchy 和 GC 都未能选择多个高性能项目。
5/ 就预测准确性而言,Futarchy 的估计甚至远高于项目本身的估计,也远高于实际结果。 游戏费设置(项目将预测推高以影响资助结果不会受到惩罚)可能影响了这一发现。
6/ Separately, we are also exploring the impact of grants on Superchain TVL, and you can find the full analysis forthcoming in the discussion section of this forum post: Please also check out @OSObserver‘s dashboards, and @butterygg’s analysis, to dive deeper: OSO’s Futarchy v1 Data Dashboard: OSO’s Season 7 Grants Data Dashboard: Butter’s analysis:
7/ 回顾一下,数据表明,Futarchy 在选择超级链 TVL 增幅最大的项目方面至少表现得与传统决策结构一样好,但我们的具体实施也凸显了一些重要的弱点。 我们很高兴能在未来的实验中继续试验 Futarchy,并探索游戏与真钱激励的区别。
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