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They're probably right, is the thing. The difference is a special election vs. general. Dems are way better at turning out in specials, but usually the GOP manages to get enough low-info Trump voters out in the general.
4.8. klo 12.23
Remember how, in April, Stefanik’s nomination was pulled because R’s were worried her replacement couldn’t win a Trump+20 seat? Now they’ve somehow convinced themselves that several Trump+10-15 seats are safe even though the president is less popular??
They might lose a few Trump +10 districts in areas with especially bad swings or a bad candidates, but I expect they'd win the vast majority.
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